本篇回應
Pei-Chi Lo 認為 含有個人意見
引用自 Pei-Chi Lo 查核回應
這篇文章主要引述自Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding在twitter對疫情的個人評論,該人確實存在也的確來自哈佛。

2020年1月25日Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding在twitter的原始貼文:
https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220919589623803905

哈佛網頁上對Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding的介紹:
https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding/home

另,關於文末提及武漢建實驗室的病毒可能逃脫造成爆發,此為陰謀論推測,無法證實。

不同意見出處

文中提到新型冠狀病毒的R0(可理解為「平均一個人可以傳染給多少人」)是3.8,主要出自Lancaster 2020年1月24日發布的研究:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v1?fbclid=IwAR0oinsBRCnf4H7f-zuvkA18xEWGd5vl31353EPkzw7zcPMNh_6qGWgUe7I

但不同單位針對R0有不同數值的發表(且隨疫情變化R0本來就會變動),WHO 2020年1月23日聲明中使用的R0數值是1.4~2.5人:
https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/23-01-2020-statement-on-the-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regarding-the-outbreak-of-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov)

另一份2020年1月25日發布的報告則評估R0為2.6(範圍:1.5-3.5):
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/news--wuhan-coronavirus/

針對低估確診人數,端傳媒2020年1月25日有相關報導,提及確診名單外的死亡患者情形:
https://theinitium.com/article/20200126-⋯land-wuhan-pneumonia-forgotten-patients

Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding on Twitter: "HOLY MOTHER OF GOD - the new coronavirus is a 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value? It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad - never seen an actual virality coefficient outside of Twitter in my entire career. I’m not exaggerating... #WuhanCoronovirus #CoronavirusOutbreak https://t.co/6mmxIHL9Ue"

HOLY MOTHER OF GOD - the new coronavirus is a 3.8!!! How bad is that reproductive R0 value? It is thermonuclear pandemic level bad - never seen an actual virality coefficient outside of Twitter in my

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1220919589623803905

Eric Feigl-Ding, PhD

Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding (Eric Ding) is a health economist, epidemiologist, and nutrition scientist at the Harvard Chan School of Public Health, and an expert advisor to the World Health Organization.

https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding/home

Statement on the meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus 2019 (n-CoV) on 23 January 2020

Home/ Newsroom/ Detail/ Statement on the meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coro

https://www.who.int/news-room/detail/23-01-2020-statement-on-the-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regarding-the-outbreak-of-novel-coronavirus-(2019-ncov)

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